[public-health] ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DENIAL : ENERGY CHOICES : BREXIT : TRUMPISM : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS: CAMPAIGN FUND RULES : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS: CANDIDATES : UNITED STATES: POLITICS: POLITICAL PARTIES: REPUBLICAN PARTY, TEA PARTY : INDUSTRIES: PETROLEUM : LIBERTARIANISM : RACISM : BIGOTRY : EXTREMISM : HATE GROUPS : INTOLERANCE : PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: NAMED PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: DONALD TRUMP : BLATANT FALSEHOODS: SERIAL LIARS : ORGANIZATIONS: EXTREMIST ORGANIZATIONS : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS : TRUTHINESS: Will Trumpism, Brexit, and Geopolitical Exceptionalism Sink the Planet?

 

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ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DENIAL :

ENERGY CHOICES :

BREXIT :

TRUMPISM :

POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS: CANDIDATES :

UNITED STATES: POLITICS: POLITICAL PARTIES: REPUBLICAN PARTY, TEA PARTY :

INDUSTRIES: PETROLEUM :

LIBERTARIANISM :

RACISM :

BIGOTRY :

EXTREMISM :

HATE GROUPS :

INTOLERANCE :

PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: NAMED PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: DONALD TRUMP :

BLATANT FALSEHOODS:

SERIAL LIARS :

ORGANIZATIONS: EXTREMIST ORGANIZATIONS :

TRUTHINESS:

Will Trumpism, Brexit, and Geopolitical Exceptionalism Sink the Planet?

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Will Trumpism, Brexit, and Geopolitical Exceptionalism Sink the Planet?

September 23, 2016

by Energy Post

The Energy Collective

http://www.theenergycollective.com/energy-post/2388595/ will-trumpism-brexit-and-geopolitical-exceptionalism-sink-the-planet

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A shorter URL for the above link:

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http://tinyurl.com/h83fuhh

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The future pace of climate change will be determined as much by geopolitical factors as by technological developments in the energy sector, writes energy expert and author Michael T. Klare. While immense progress is being made in bringing down the price of wind and solar power, the political will to turn such developments into meaningful global change may be diminishing. Article courtesy of Tomdispatch.com.

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In a year of record-setting heat on a blistered globe, with fast-warming oceans, fast-melting ice caps, and fast-rising sea levels, ratification of the December 2015 Paris climate summit agreement  already endorsed by most nations  should be a complete no-brainer.  That it isnt tells you a great deal about our world.  Global geopolitics and the possible rightward lurch of many countries (including a potential deal-breaking election in the United States that could put a climate denier in the White House) spell bad news for the fate of the Earth. Its worth exploring how this might come to be.

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The delegates to that 2015 climate summit were in general accord about the science of climate change and the need to cap global warming at 1.5 to 2.0 degrees Celsius (or 2.6 to 3.5 degrees Fahrenheit) before a planetary catastrophe ensues.  They disagreed, however, about much else. Some key countries were in outright conflict with other states (Russia with Ukraine, for example) or deeply hostile to each other (as with India and Pakistan or the U.S. and Iran). In recognition of such tensions and schisms, the assembled countries crafted a final document that replaced legally binding commitments with the obligation of each signatory state to adopt its own unique plan, or nationally determined contribution (NDC), for curbing climate-altering greenhouse gas emissions.

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As a result, the fate of the planet rests on the questionable willingness of each of those countries to abide by that obligation, however sour or bellicose its relations with other signatories may be.  As it happens, that part of the agreement has already been buffeted by geopolitical headwinds and is likely to face increasing turbulence in the years to come.

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Diplomatic coup

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That geopolitics will play a decisive role in determining the success or failure of the Paris Agreement has become self-evident in the short time since its promulgation. While some progress has been made toward its formal adoption  the agreement will enter into force only after no fewer than 55 countries, accounting for at least 55% of global greenhouse gas emissions, have ratified it  it has also encountered unexpected political hurdles, signaling trouble to come.

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On the bright side, in a stunning diplomatic coup, President Obama persuaded Chinese President Xi Jinping to sign the accord with him during a recent meeting of the G-20 group of leading economies in Hangzhou. Together, the two countries are responsible for a striking 40% of global emissions.  Despite our differences on other issues, Obama noted during the signing ceremony, we hope our willingness to work together on this issue will inspire further ambition and further action around the world.

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Brazil, the planets seventh largest emitter, just signed on as well, and a number of states, including Japan and New Zealand, have announced their intention to ratify the agreement soon.  Many others are expected to do so before the next major U.N. climate summit in Marrakesh, Morocco, this November.

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snip

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Keep in mind as well that Angela Merkel and Franis Hollande, the leaders of the other two anchors of the European Union, Germany and France, are both embattled by right-wing anti-immigrant parties likely to be similarly unfriendly to such an agreement.  And in what could be the deal-breaker of history, this same strain of thought, combining unbridled nationalism, climate denialism, fierce hostility to immigration, and unwavering support for domestic fossil fuel production, also animates Donald Trumps campaign for the American presidency.

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In his first major speech on energy, delivered in May, Trump  who has called global warming a Chinese hoax  pledged to cancel the Paris climate agreement and scrap the various measures announced by President Obama to ensure U.S. compliance with its provisions. Echoing the views of his Brexit counterparts, he complained that this agreement gives foreign bureaucrats control over how much energy we use on our land, in our country. No way. He also vowed to revive construction of the Keystone XL pipeline (which would bring carbon-heavy Canadian tar sands oil to refineries on the U.S. Gulf Coast), to reverse any climate-friendly Obama administration acts, and to promote the coal industry.  Regulations that shut down hundreds of coal-fired power plants and block the construction of new ones  how stupid is that? he said, mockingly.

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The complete article may be read at the URL above.

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Sincerely,
David Dillard
Temple University
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jwne@temple.edu
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[public-health] ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DENIAL : ENERGY CHOICES : BREXIT : TRUMPISM : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS: CAMPAIGN FUND RULES : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS: CANDIDATES : UNITED STATES: POLITICS: POLITICAL PARTIES: REPUBLICAN PARTY, TEA PARTY : INDUSTRIES: PETROLEUM : LIBERTARIANISM : RACISM : BIGOTRY : EXTREMISM : HATE GROUPS : INTOLERANCE : PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: NAMED PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES: DONALD TRUMP : BLATANT FALSEHOODS: SERIAL LIARS : ORGANIZATIONS: EXTREMIST ORGANIZATIONS : POLITICS ELECTIONS AND ELECTION CAMPAIGNS : TRUTHINESS: Will Trumpism, Brexit, and Geopolitical Exceptionalism Sink the Planet?

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